Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.299796 4.025317e-01 0.522136 0.669495 0.843984 1.041911 1.281243
2025-12-21 0.157483 2.736337e-01 0.431859 0.653000 0.943951 1.304004 1.773187
2025-12-28 0.086358 1.993659e-01 0.379958 0.662940 1.069232 1.606935 2.346782
2026-01-04 0.044741 1.442770e-01 0.332998 0.662955 1.174718 1.890972 2.920115
2026-01-11 0.019791 9.878341e-02 0.281442 0.639094 1.236396 2.115944 3.428485
2026-01-18 0.007795 6.818757e-02 0.241891 0.621668 1.299820 2.343165 3.950103
2026-01-25 0.002871 4.994022e-02 0.218513 0.625304 1.393591 2.618024 4.551062
2026-02-01 0.000563 3.274505e-02 0.186014 0.600559 1.432546 2.808180 5.035268
2026-02-08 0.000109 2.597716e-02 0.179246 0.627887 1.564880 3.150722 5.758613
2026-02-15 0.000001 1.844286e-02 0.163276 0.629196 1.647374 3.415770 6.373892
2026-02-22 NaN 1.608768e-02 0.166441 0.677621 1.823548 3.842363 7.250811
2026-03-01 NaN 1.288204e-02 0.162596 0.706689 1.963250 4.213463 8.052818
2026-03-08 NaN 9.189978e-03 0.151949 0.716195 2.067170 4.533924 8.795142
2026-03-15 NaN 5.624857e-03 0.135063 0.703036 2.122596 4.773797 9.419087
2026-03-22 NaN 3.840002e-03 0.127461 0.715668 2.233407 5.114859 10.215227
2026-03-29 NaN 2.337898e-03 0.117297 0.716797 2.318362 5.412781 10.949408
2026-04-05 NaN 1.049834e-03 0.101321 0.692139 2.342020 5.600332 11.508038
2026-04-12 NaN 4.091640e-04 0.088608 0.673983 2.377589 5.809691 12.107074
2026-04-19 NaN 1.706667e-04 0.082155 0.677978 2.465501 6.118800 12.879306
2026-04-26 NaN 2.419960e-05 0.069899 0.651845 2.476482 6.282697 13.411013
2026-05-03 NaN 8.458451e-06 0.069753 0.680828 2.627720 6.718744 14.413018
2026-05-10 NaN 1.697885e-07 0.064301 0.682233 2.708330 7.021290 15.193797
2026-05-17 NaN 6.335753e-08 0.068412 0.733481 2.921879 7.587725 16.436961